Argos Playoff Scenarios

Hey Argos Empire!

As we enter another, “must win” weekend , all the the CFL East playoff spots are up for grabs.  It can all be a little confusing, so let’s see if we can clear it up a bit, eh?

If the Argos win their final two regular season games (against the Als & Redblacks, respectively), then Toronto will finish first in the East, will have the first round bye, and have home field ’til the Grey Cup in Vancouver at the end of the month.  This is the straight forward, “win and you’re in” scenario.  Second place would be determined by the Montreal/Hamilton matchup, with Montreal currently leading the season series 1-0, meaning a Montreal win would eliminate the ticats, but a loss meaning the league will go to some complicated tiebreaker formula (see above).

If the Argos lose against Montreal, then they need to beat the Redblacks at home next weekend and for Montreal to beat the ticats in Hamilton.  This scenario has the Als finishing first, while the Argos and ticats will have identical 8-10 records, but Toronto owns the tiebreaker against Hamilton as they beat ’em 2-1 in the three head-to-head matchups.  If Hamilton wins or ties next week, then Toronto’s out.

If the Argos win against Montreal but lose to Ottawa, they will have a tiebreaker against both the Als & ticats, meaning they’ll finish second behind whoever wins the Montreal/Hamilton matchup.  The only way Toronto misses the playoffs here is if the Als & ticats tie, meaning they’ll both have fewer losses than the Argos.

If the Argos lose their final two games, they’re screwed.  They’re out.  They’re done.

Or, to put it more simply:

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